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INT Portugal Liga 3 · Trận đấu ·

Sporting Covilha vs UD Santarem

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Chủ nhà form
Projected score1–11.73 expected goals
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng29%
Hòa34%
Đội khách thắng37%
Full model forecastĐội khách thắngTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callĐội khách thắng37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Sporting CovilhaUD Santarem
Expected goals1.73Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Xỉu75% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bànKhông67% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Tài 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
29% / 34% / 37%Kết quả trận đấuĐội khách thắng37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sporting Covilha win (28.7%)Cơ hội képX271.3%1.40
Tài 25% · Xỉu 75%Goals 2.5Xỉu75%1.33
Có 33% · Không 67%Cả hai đội ghi bànKhông67%1.49
1.73 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác1–1
10.2 expected match cornersPhạt gócTài 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Không snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityTỷ lệ công bằng
Sporting Covilha win29%3.45
Hòa34%2.94
UD Santarem win37%2.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sporting Covilha0.75

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 43.4%

Total expected goals1.73Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Tài 25% · Xỉu 75%

UD Santarem0.98

Khách share of expected goals 56.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 33% · Không 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

Sporting Covilha

1.60pts / match
Số trận5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Điểm8

SignalChủ nhà unbeaten 4/5

Khách-context · form sequence

UD Santarem

0.80pts / match
Số trận5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Điểm4

SignalKhách unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
29%
Thắng probability excluding draw
37%
8
Points from supplied form
4
0.75
Expected goals
0.98
Sporting CovilhaUD Santarem
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sporting Covilha signalChủ nhà unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02UD Santarem signalKhách unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 34%.

Match questions

Sporting Covilha vs UD Santarem FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Đội khách thắng · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sporting Covilha thắng 29%,Hòa 34%,UD Santarem thắng 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.73 · Tài 2.5 25% · Current selection Xỉu