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PRT Португалия - Лига Примейра · Round 1 ·

Эштрела Амадора vs Спортинг

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–33.42 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев8%
Ничья16%
Победа гостей76%
Full model forecastПобеда гостейTier A · 76% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда гостей76% selection probability
Projected score1–3Эштрела АмадораСпортинг
Expected goals3.42Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше66% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
8% / 16% / 76%Исход матчаПобеда гостей76%1.32
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Эштрела Амадора win (7.8%)Двойной шансX292.2%1.08
Больше 66% · Меньше 34%Goals 2.5Больше66%1.52
Да 48% · Нет 52%Обе забьютНет52%1.92
3.42 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–3
9.8 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.7%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Эштрела Амадора win8%12.5012.007.9%+0.1 pp
Ничья16%6.255.7516.4%-0.4 pp
Спортинг win76%1.321.2575.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Эштрела Амадора0.72

Хозяева share of expected goals 21.1%

Total expected goals3.42Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 66% · Меньше 34%

Спортинг2.70

Гости share of expected goals 78.9%

Projected score1–3BTTS splitДа 48% · Нет 52%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Эштрела Амадора

1.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Баллы5

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Спортинг

3.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Баллы15

SignalГости unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
8%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
76%
5
Points from supplied form
15
0.72
Expected goals
2.70
Эштрела АмадораСпортинг
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Эштрела Амадора signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Спортинг signalГости unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk24% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

Эштрела Амадора vs Спортинг FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа гостей · Projected score 1–3 · 76% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Эштрела Амадора выигрыш 8%,Ничья 16%,Спортинг выигрыш 76%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.42 · ТБ 2.5 66% · Current selection Больше