Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
13% / 20% / 67%Match resultAway win67%1.49
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Estrela Amadora win (13.1%)Double chanceX286.9%1.15
Over 67% · Under 33%Goals 2.5Over67%1.49
Yes 48% · No 52%Both teams scoreNo52%1.92
3.43 total expected goalsCorrect score1–3——
9.8 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Estrela Amadora win13%7.69
Draw20%5.00
Sporting win67%1.49
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 21%
Total expected goals3.43Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 67% · Under 33%
Away share of expected goals 79%
Projected score1–3BTTS splitYes 48% · No 52%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.00pts / matchEstrela Amadora
WDDLL
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
3.00pts / matchSporting
WWWWW
Played5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Points15
SignalAway unbeaten 5/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
13%
Win probability excluding draw
67%5
Points from supplied form
150.72
Expected goals
2.71Estrela AmadoraSporting
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 20%.
Match questions
Estrela Amadora vs Sporting FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–3 · 67% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Estrela Amadora win 13%，Draw 20%，Sporting win 67%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.43 · Over 2.5 67% · Current selection Over。