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PRT Португалия - Примейра Лига · Round 1 ·

Ещрела Амадора vs Спортинг

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–33.42 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина8%
Равен16%
Победа за госта76%
Full model forecastПобеда за гостаTier A · 76% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за госта76% selection probability
Projected score1–3Ещрела АмадораСпортинг
Expected goals3.42Откриване match profile
Goals 2.5Над66% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
8% / 16% / 76%Резултат от мачаПобеда за госта76%1.32
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ещрела Амадора win (7.8%)Двоен шансX292.2%1.08
Над 66% · Под 34%Goals 2.5Над66%1.52
Да 48% · Не 52%И двата отбора да отбележатНе52%1.92
3.42 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–3
9.8 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.7%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ещрела Амадора win8%12.5012.007.9%+0.1 pp
Равен16%6.255.7516.4%-0.4 pp
Спортинг win76%1.321.2575.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ещрела Амадора0.72

Домакин share of expected goals 21.1%

Total expected goals3.42Откриване

Dedicated goals model: Над 66% · Под 34%

Спортинг2.70

Гост share of expected goals 78.9%

Projected score1–3BTTS splitДа 48% · Не 52%Match profileОткриване
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Ещрела Амадора

1.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Точки5

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Спортинг

3.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Точки15

SignalГост unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
8%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
76%
5
Points from supplied form
15
0.72
Expected goals
2.70
Ещрела АмадораСпортинг
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ещрела Амадора signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Спортинг signalГост unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk24% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

Ещрела Амадора vs Спортинг FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за госта · Projected score 1–3 · 76% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ещрела Амадора печеливш 8%,Равен 16%,Спортинг печеливш 76%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.42 · Над 2.5 66% · Current selection Над