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PRT Португалия - Примейра Лига · Round 1 ·

Ещорил vs Фамаликао

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–12.52 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина32%
Равен30%
Победа за госта38%
Full model forecastПобеда за гостаTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за госта38% selection probability
Projected score1–1ЕщорилФамаликао
Expected goals2.52Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Под54% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
32% / 30% / 38%Резултат от мачаПобеда за госта38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.5%)Двоен шанс1270.5%1.42
Над 46% · Под 54%Goals 2.5Под54%1.85
Да 51% · Не 49%И двата отбора да отбележатДа51%1.96
2.52 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
9.7 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Не snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедлив коефициент
Ещорил win32%3.13
Равен30%3.33
Фамаликао win38%2.63

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ещорил1.17

Домакин share of expected goals 46.4%

Total expected goals2.52Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 46% · Под 54%

Фамаликао1.35

Гост share of expected goals 53.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 51% · Не 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Ещорил

0.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Точки4

SignalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Фамаликао

1.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Точки8

SignalДомакин matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
38%
4
Points from supplied form
8
1.17
Expected goals
1.35
ЕщорилФамаликао
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ещорил signalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Фамаликао signalДомакин matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Ещорил vs Фамаликао FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за госта · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ещорил печеливш 32%,Равен 30%,Фамаликао печеливш 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.52 · Над 2.5 46% · Current selection Под