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PRT Πορτογαλία - Πριμέιρα Λίγκα · Round 1 ·

Εστορίλ vs Φαμαλικάο

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–12.52 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου32%
Ισοπαλία30%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου38%
Full model forecastΝίκη φιλοξενούμενουTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου38% selection probability
Projected score1–1ΕστορίλΦαμαλικάο
Expected goals2.52Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω54% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
32% / 30% / 38%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.5%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1270.5%1.42
Άνω 46% · Κάτω 54%Goals 2.5Κάτω54%1.85
Ναι 51% · Όχι 49%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι51%1.96
2.52 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–1
9.7 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Εστορίλ win32%3.13
Ισοπαλία30%3.33
Φαμαλικάο win38%2.63

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Εστορίλ1.17

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 46.4%

Total expected goals2.52Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 46% · Κάτω 54%

Φαμαλικάο1.35

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 53.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitΝαι 51% · Όχι 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Εστορίλ

0.80pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Πόντοι4

SignalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Φαμαλικάο

1.60pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Πόντοι8

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
38%
4
Points from supplied form
8
1.17
Expected goals
1.35
ΕστορίλΦαμαλικάο
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Εστορίλ signalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Φαμαλικάο signalΓηπεδούχος matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Εστορίλ vs Φαμαλικάο FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Εστορίλ νίκη 32%,Ισοπαλία 30%,Φαμαλικάο νίκη 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.52 · Άνω 2.5 46% · Current selection Κάτω