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PRT Portugal Primeira Liga · Round 1 ·

Estoril vs Famalicao

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score1–12.52 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır33%
Beraberlik28%
Deplasman kazanır38%
Full model forecastDeplasman kazanırTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callDeplasman kazanır38% selection probability
Projected score1–1EstorilFamalicao
Expected goals2.52Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Alt54% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varEvet51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Alt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
33% / 28% / 38%Maç sonucuDeplasman kazanır38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.3%)Çifte Şans1271.7%1.39
Üst 46% · Alt 54%Goals 2.5Alt54%1.85
Evet 51% · Hayır 49%Karşılıklı gol varEvet51%1.96
2.52 total expected goalsDoğru skor1–1
9.7 expected match cornersKornerlerAlt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.8%Largest probability gapEstoril winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Estoril win33%3.032.8033.4%-0.4 pp
Beraberlik28%3.573.3028.4%-0.4 pp
Famalicao win38%2.632.4538.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Estoril1.17

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 46.4%

Total expected goals2.52Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üst 46% · Alt 54%

Famalicao1.35

Deplasman share of expected goals 53.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitEvet 51% · Hayır 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Estoril

0.80pts / match
Oynanan5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Puan4

SignalEv Sahibi unbeaten 4/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Famalicao

1.60pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Puan8

SignalEv Sahibi matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
38%
4
Points from supplied form
8
1.17
Expected goals
1.35
EstorilFamalicao
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Estoril signalEv Sahibi unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Famalicao signalEv Sahibi matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Estoril vs Famalicao FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Deplasman kazanır · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Estoril kazanç 33%,Beraberlik 28%,Famalicao kazanç 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.52 · 2.5 Üst 46% · Current selection Alt