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PRT Portugal Primeira Liga · Round 1 ·

Estrela Amadora vs Sporting

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score1–33.42 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır8%
Beraberlik16%
Deplasman kazanır76%
Full model forecastDeplasman kazanırTier A · 76% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callDeplasman kazanır76% selection probability
Projected score1–3Estrela AmadoraSporting
Expected goals3.42Açılış match profile
Goals 2.5Üst66% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varHayır52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Üst 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
8% / 16% / 76%Maç sonucuDeplasman kazanır76%1.32
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Estrela Amadora win (7.8%)Çifte ŞansX292.2%1.08
Üst 66% · Alt 34%Goals 2.5Üst66%1.52
Evet 48% · Hayır 52%Karşılıklı gol varHayır52%1.92
3.42 total expected goalsDoğru skor1–3
9.8 expected match cornersKornerlerÜst 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.7%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Estrela Amadora win8%12.5012.007.9%+0.1 pp
Beraberlik16%6.255.7516.4%-0.4 pp
Sporting win76%1.321.2575.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Estrela Amadora0.72

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 21.1%

Total expected goals3.42Açılış

Dedicated goals model: Üst 66% · Alt 34%

Sporting2.70

Deplasman share of expected goals 78.9%

Projected score1–3BTTS splitEvet 48% · Hayır 52%Match profileAçılış
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Estrela Amadora

1.00pts / match
Oynanan5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puan5

SignalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 4/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Sporting

3.00pts / match
Oynanan5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Puan15

SignalDeplasman unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
8%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
76%
5
Points from supplied form
15
0.72
Expected goals
2.70
Estrela AmadoraSporting
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Estrela Amadora signalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sporting signalDeplasman unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk24% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

Estrela Amadora vs Sporting FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Deplasman kazanır · Projected score 1–3 · 76% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Estrela Amadora kazanç 8%,Beraberlik 16%,Sporting kazanç 76%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.42 · 2.5 Üst 66% · Current selection Üst