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PRT Πορτογαλία - Πριμέιρα Λίγκα · Round 1 ·

Εστρέλα Αμαντόρα vs Σπόρτινγκ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–33.42 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου8%
Ισοπαλία16%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου76%
Full model forecastΝίκη φιλοξενούμενουTier A · 76% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου76% selection probability
Projected score1–3Εστρέλα ΑμαντόραΣπόρτινγκ
Expected goals3.42Άνοιγμα match profile
Goals 2.5Άνω66% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Άνω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
8% / 16% / 76%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου76%1.32
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Εστρέλα Αμαντόρα win (7.8%)Διπλή ΕυκαιρίαX292.2%1.08
Άνω 66% · Κάτω 34%Goals 2.5Άνω66%1.52
Ναι 48% · Όχι 52%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι52%1.92
3.42 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–3
9.8 expected match cornersΚόρνερΆνω 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.7%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Εστρέλα Αμαντόρα win8%12.5012.007.9%+0.1 pp
Ισοπαλία16%6.255.7516.4%-0.4 pp
Σπόρτινγκ win76%1.321.2575.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Εστρέλα Αμαντόρα0.72

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 21.1%

Total expected goals3.42Άνοιγμα

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 66% · Κάτω 34%

Σπόρτινγκ2.70

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 78.9%

Projected score1–3BTTS splitΝαι 48% · Όχι 52%Match profileΆνοιγμα
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Εστρέλα Αμαντόρα

1.00pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Πόντοι5

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 4/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Σπόρτινγκ

3.00pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Πόντοι15

SignalΦιλοξενούμενος unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
8%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
76%
5
Points from supplied form
15
0.72
Expected goals
2.70
Εστρέλα ΑμαντόραΣπόρτινγκ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Εστρέλα Αμαντόρα signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Σπόρτινγκ signalΦιλοξενούμενος unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk24% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

Εστρέλα Αμαντόρα vs Σπόρτινγκ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου · Projected score 1–3 · 76% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Εστρέλα Αμαντόρα νίκη 8%,Ισοπαλία 16%,Σπόρτινγκ νίκη 76%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.42 · Άνω 2.5 66% · Current selection Άνω