Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
8% / 16% / 76%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst76%1.32
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Estrela Amadora win (7.8%)Dubbele KansX292.2%1.08
Boven 66% · Onder 34%Goals 2.5Boven66%1.52
Ja 48% · Nee 52%Beide teams scorenNee52%1.92
3.42 total expected goalsExacte score1–3——
9.8 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin5.7%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Estrela Amadora win8%12.5012.007.9%+0.1 pp
Gelijkspel16%6.255.7516.4%-0.4 pp
Sporting win76%1.321.2575.7%+0.3 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Thuis share of expected goals 21.1%
Total expected goals3.42Openen
Dedicated goals model: Boven 66% · Onder 34%
Uit share of expected goals 78.9%
Projected score1–3BTTS splitJa 48% · Nee 52%Match profileOpenen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Thuis-context · form sequence
1.00pts / matchEstrela Amadora
WDDLL
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punten5
SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5
Uit-context · form sequence
3.00pts / matchSporting
WWWWW
Gespeeld5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Punten15
SignalUit unbeaten 5/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
8%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
76%5
Points from supplied form
150.72
Expected goals
2.70Estrela AmadoraSporting
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 16%.
Match questions
Estrela Amadora vs Sporting FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 1–3 · 76% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Estrela Amadora gewonnen 8%，Gelijkspel 16%，Sporting gewonnen 76%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.42 · Boven 2.5 66% · Current selection Boven。