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PRT Portugal - Primeira Liga · Wedstrijd ·

Maritimo vs Casa Pia

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–12.63 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst40%
Gelijkspel27%
Uitwinst34%
Market-based forecastThuiswinstTier B · 40% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst40% selection probability
Projected score1–1MaritimoCasa Pia
Expected goals2.63Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Onder51% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
40% / 27% / 34%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.7%)Dubbele Kans1273.3%1.36
Boven 49% · Onder 51%Goals 2.5Onder51%1.96
Ja 54% · Nee 46%Beide teams scorenJa54%1.85
2.63 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
9.7 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin6.6%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Maritimo win40%2.502.4039.1%
Gelijkspel27%3.703.5026.8%
Casa Pia win34%2.942.7534.1%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Maritimo1.40

Thuis share of expected goals 53.2%

Total expected goals2.63Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 49% · Onder 51%

Casa Pia1.23

Uit share of expected goals 46.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 54% · Nee 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Maritimo

1.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punten9

SignalThuis won 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Casa Pia

0.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punten4

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
34%
9
Points from supplied form
4
1.40
Expected goals
1.23
MaritimoCasa Pia
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Maritimo signalThuis won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Casa Pia signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Maritimo vs Casa Pia FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Maritimo gewonnen 40%,Gelijkspel 27%,Casa Pia gewonnen 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.63 · Boven 2.5 49% · Current selection Onder