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PRT Portugal - Primeira Liga · Match ·

Marítimo vs Casa Pia

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–12.63 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger40%
Oavgjort27%
Bortaseger34%
Market-based forecastHemmasegerTier B · 40% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger40% selection probability
Projected score1–1MarítimoCasa Pia
Expected goals2.63Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under51% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
40% / 27% / 34%MatchresultatHemmaseger40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.7%)Dubbelchans1273.3%1.36
Över 49% · Under 51%Goals 2.5Under51%1.96
Ja 54% · Nej 46%Båda lagen gör målJa54%1.85
2.63 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.7 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin6.6%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimIngen
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Marítimo win40%2.502.4039.1%
Oavgjort27%3.703.5026.8%
Casa Pia win34%2.942.7534.1%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Marítimo1.40

Hemma share of expected goals 53.2%

Total expected goals2.63Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 49% · Under 51%

Casa Pia1.23

Borta share of expected goals 46.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 54% · Nej 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Marítimo

1.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Poäng9

SignalHemma won 3/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Casa Pia

0.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Poäng4

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
34%
9
Points from supplied form
4
1.40
Expected goals
1.23
MarítimoCasa Pia
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Marítimo signalHemma won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Casa Pia signalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Marítimo vs Casa Pia FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Marítimo vunnen 40%,Oavgjort 27%,Casa Pia vunnen 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.63 · Över 2.5 49% · Current selection Under