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PRT ポルトガル プリメイラリーガ · 試合 ·

マリティモ vs カサピア

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–12.63 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利40%
引き分け27%
アウェイ勝利34%
Market-based forecastホーム勝利Tier B · 40% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利40% selection probability
Projected score1–1マリティモカサピア
Expected goals2.63Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー51% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
40% / 27% / 34%試合結果ホーム勝利40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.7%)ダブルチャンス1273.3%1.36
オーバー 49% · アンダー 51%Goals 2.5アンダー51%1.96
はい 54% · いいえ 46%両チーム得点はい54%1.85
2.63 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
9.7 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin6.6%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimなし
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
マリティモ win40%2.502.4039.1%
引き分け27%3.703.5026.8%
カサピア win34%2.942.7534.1%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

マリティモ1.40

ホーム share of expected goals 53.2%

Total expected goals2.63Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 49% · アンダー 51%

カサピア1.23

アウェイ share of expected goals 46.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 54% · いいえ 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

マリティモ

1.80pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn0Losses2ポイント9

Signalホーム won 3/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

カサピア

0.80pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn1Losses3ポイント4

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
勝ち probability excluding draw
34%
9
Points from supplied form
4
1.40
Expected goals
1.23
マリティモカサピア
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01マリティモ signalホーム won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02カサピア signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

マリティモ vs カサピア FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

マリティモ 勝ち 40%,引き分け 27%,カサピア 勝ち 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.63 · オーバー 2.5 49% · Current selection アンダー