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PRT Portugalia - Primeira Liga · Mecz ·

Maritimo vs Casa Pia

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–12.63 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy40%
Remis27%
Wygrana gości33%
Market-based forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier B · 40% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy40% selection probability
Projected score1–1MaritimoCasa Pia
Expected goals2.63Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej51% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
40% / 27% / 33%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.8%)Podwójna szansa1273.2%1.37
Powyżej 49% · Poniżej 51%Goals 2.5Poniżej51%1.96
Tak 54% · Nie 46%Obie drużyny strzeląTak54%1.85
2.63 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–1
9.7 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin6.3%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimBrak
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Maritimo win40%2.502.3839.5%
Remis27%3.703.5026.9%
Casa Pia win33%3.032.8033.6%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Maritimo1.41

Gospodarze share of expected goals 53.6%

Total expected goals2.63Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 49% · Poniżej 51%

Casa Pia1.22

Goście share of expected goals 46.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitTak 54% · Nie 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Maritimo

1.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punkty9

SignalGospodarze won 3/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Casa Pia

0.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkty4

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
33%
9
Points from supplied form
4
1.41
Expected goals
1.22
MaritimoCasa Pia
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Maritimo signalGospodarze won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Casa Pia signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Maritimo vs Casa Pia FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Maritimo wygrana 40%,Remis 27%,Casa Pia wygrana 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.63 · Powyżej 2.5 49% · Current selection Poniżej