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PRT Portugalia - Primeira Liga · Round 1 ·

Estrela Amadora vs Sporting

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–33.42 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy8%
Remis16%
Wygrana gości76%
Full model forecastWygrana gościTier A · 76% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gości76% selection probability
Projected score1–3Estrela AmadoraSporting
Expected goals3.42Otwarcie match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej66% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
8% / 16% / 76%Wynik meczuWygrana gości76%1.32
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Estrela Amadora win (7.8%)Podwójna szansaX292.2%1.08
Powyżej 66% · Poniżej 34%Goals 2.5Powyżej66%1.52
Tak 48% · Nie 52%Obie drużyny strzeląNie52%1.92
3.42 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–3
9.8 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.7%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Estrela Amadora win8%12.5012.007.9%+0.1 pp
Remis16%6.255.7516.4%-0.4 pp
Sporting win76%1.321.2575.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Estrela Amadora0.72

Gospodarze share of expected goals 21.1%

Total expected goals3.42Otwarcie

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 66% · Poniżej 34%

Sporting2.70

Goście share of expected goals 78.9%

Projected score1–3BTTS splitTak 48% · Nie 52%Match profileOtwarcie
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Estrela Amadora

1.00pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punkty5

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Sporting

3.00pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Punkty15

SignalGoście unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
8%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
76%
5
Points from supplied form
15
0.72
Expected goals
2.70
Estrela AmadoraSporting
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Estrela Amadora signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sporting signalGoście unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk24% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

Estrela Amadora vs Sporting FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gości · Projected score 1–3 · 76% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Estrela Amadora wygrana 8%,Remis 16%,Sporting wygrana 76%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.42 · Powyżej 2.5 66% · Current selection Powyżej