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PRT Portugal - Primeira Liga · Round 1 ·

C.F. Estrela da Amadora vs Sporting

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–33.43 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local8%
Empate16%
Victoria visitante76%
Full model forecastVictoria visitanteTier A · 76% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria visitante76% selection probability
Projected score1–3C.F. Estrela da AmadoraSporting
Expected goals3.43Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Más de67% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
8% / 16% / 76%Resultado del partidoVictoria visitante76%1.32
Derived from 1X2 · excludes C.F. Estrela da Amadora win (7.8%)Doble OportunidadX292.2%1.08
Más de 67% · Menos de 33%Goals 2.5Más de67%1.49
Sí 48% · No 52%Ambos equipos marcanNo52%1.92
3.43 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–3
9.8 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.7%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
C.F. Estrela da Amadora win8%12.5012.007.9%+0.1 pp
Empate16%6.255.7516.4%-0.4 pp
Sporting win76%1.321.2575.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

C.F. Estrela da Amadora0.72

Local share of expected goals 21%

Total expected goals3.43Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Más de 67% · Menos de 33%

Sporting2.71

Visitante share of expected goals 79%

Projected score1–3BTTS split 48% · No 52%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

C.F. Estrela da Amadora

1.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puntos5

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Sporting

3.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Puntos15

SignalVisitante unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
8%
Ganado probability excluding draw
76%
5
Points from supplied form
15
0.72
Expected goals
2.71
C.F. Estrela da AmadoraSporting
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01C.F. Estrela da Amadora signalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sporting signalVisitante unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk24% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

C.F. Estrela da Amadora vs Sporting FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria visitante · Projected score 1–3 · 76% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

C.F. Estrela da Amadora ganada 8%,Empate 16%,Sporting ganada 76%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.43 · Más de 2.5 67% · Current selection Más de