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PRT ポルトガル プリメイラリーガ · Round 1 ·

エストリル vs ファマリカン

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–12.52 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利32%
引き分け29%
アウェイ勝利38%
Full model forecastアウェイ勝利Tier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callアウェイ勝利38% selection probability
Projected score1–1エストリルファマリカン
Expected goals2.52Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー54% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
32% / 29% / 38%試合結果アウェイ勝利38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.5%)ダブルチャンス1270.5%1.42
オーバー 46% · アンダー 54%Goals 2.5アンダー54%1.85
はい 51% · いいえ 49%両チーム得点はい51%1.96
2.52 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
9.7 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
エストリル win32%3.13
引き分け29%3.45
ファマリカン win38%2.63

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

エストリル1.17

ホーム share of expected goals 46.4%

Total expected goals2.52Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 46% · アンダー 54%

ファマリカン1.35

アウェイ share of expected goals 53.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 51% · いいえ 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

エストリル

0.80pts / match
試合数5Wins0Drawn4Losses1ポイント4

Signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

ファマリカン

1.60pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn2Losses1ポイント8

Signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
勝ち probability excluding draw
38%
4
Points from supplied form
8
1.17
Expected goals
1.35
エストリルファマリカン
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01エストリル signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ファマリカン signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

エストリル vs ファマリカン FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: アウェイ勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

エストリル 勝ち 32%,引き分け 29%,ファマリカン 勝ち 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.52 · オーバー 2.5 46% · Current selection アンダー