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IdőzónaAsia/Shanghai
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PRT Portugália - Primeira Liga · Round 1 ·

Estoril vs Famalicao

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hazai form
Projected score1–12.52 expected goals
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem33%
Döntetlen28%
Vendég győzelem38%
Full model forecastVendég győzelemTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVendég győzelem38% selection probability
Projected score1–1EstorilFamalicao
Expected goals2.52Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Alatt54% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Alatt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
33% / 28% / 38%Mérkőzés eredményeVendég győzelem38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.3%)Dupla esély1271.7%1.39
Felett 46% · Alatt 54%Goals 2.5Alatt54%1.85
Igen 51% · Nem 49%Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen51%1.96
2.52 total expected goalsPontos eredmény1–1
9.7 expected match cornersSzögletekAlatt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.8%Largest probability gapEstoril winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeElőrejelzésValós oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Estoril win33%3.032.8033.4%-0.4 pp
Döntetlen28%3.573.3028.4%-0.4 pp
Famalicao win38%2.632.4538.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Estoril1.17

Hazai share of expected goals 46.4%

Total expected goals2.52Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Felett 46% · Alatt 54%

Famalicao1.35

Vendég share of expected goals 53.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitIgen 51% · Nem 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

Estoril

0.80pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Pontok4

SignalHazai unbeaten 4/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

Famalicao

1.60pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Pontok8

SignalHazai matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Nyert probability excluding draw
38%
4
Points from supplied form
8
1.17
Expected goals
1.35
EstorilFamalicao
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Estoril signalHazai unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Famalicao signalHazai matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Estoril vs Famalicao FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vendég győzelem · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Estoril nyer 33%,Döntetlen 28%,Famalicao nyer 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.52 · 2.5 felett 46% · Current selection Alatt