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PRT Πορτογαλία - Πριμέιρα Λίγκα · Αγώνας ·

Γκιμαράες vs Αρούκα

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score2–13.20 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου49%
Ισοπαλία27%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου24%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου49% selection probability
Projected score2–1ΓκιμαράεςΑρούκα
Expected goals3.20Άνοιγμα match profile
Goals 2.5Άνω62% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι63% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
49% / 27% / 24%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Αρούκα win (23.9%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X76.1%1.31
Άνω 62% · Κάτω 38%Goals 2.5Άνω62%1.61
Ναι 63% · Όχι 37%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι63%1.59
3.20 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ2–1
8.7 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.0%Largest probability gapΑρούκα winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Γκιμαράες win49%2.041.9049.2%-0.2 pp
Ισοπαλία27%3.703.4027.5%-0.5 pp
Αρούκα win24%4.174.0023.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Γκιμαράες1.77

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 55.3%

Total expected goals3.20Άνοιγμα

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 62% · Κάτω 38%

Αρούκα1.43

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 44.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitΝαι 63% · Όχι 37%Match profileΆνοιγμα
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Γκιμαράες

0.80pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Πόντοι4

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches under 2.5: 4/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Αρούκα

2.00pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Πόντοι10

SignalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
24%
4
Points from supplied form
10
1.77
Expected goals
1.43
ΓκιμαράεςΑρούκα
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Γκιμαράες signalΓηπεδούχος matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Αρούκα signalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Γκιμαράες vs Αρούκα FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 2–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Γκιμαράες νίκη 49%,Ισοπαλία 27%,Αρούκα νίκη 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.20 · Άνω 2.5 62% · Current selection Άνω