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PRT ポルトガル プリメイラリーガ · 試合 ·

ヴィトーリア・ギマランイス vs FCアロウカ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–13.20 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利49%
引き分け27%
アウェイ勝利24%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利49% selection probability
Projected score2–1ヴィトーリア・ギマランイスFCアロウカ
Expected goals3.20始値 match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー62% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい63% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
49% / 27% / 24%試合結果ホーム勝利49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FCアロウカ win (23.9%)ダブルチャンス1X76.1%1.31
オーバー 62% · アンダー 38%Goals 2.5オーバー62%1.61
はい 63% · いいえ 37%両チーム得点はい63%1.59
3.20 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
8.7 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.0%Largest probability gapFCアロウカ winDifference+0.6 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ヴィトーリア・ギマランイス win49%2.041.9049.2%-0.2 pp
引き分け27%3.703.4027.5%-0.5 pp
FCアロウカ win24%4.174.0023.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ヴィトーリア・ギマランイス1.77

ホーム share of expected goals 55.3%

Total expected goals3.20始値

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 62% · アンダー 38%

FCアロウカ1.43

アウェイ share of expected goals 44.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 63% · いいえ 37%Match profile始値
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

ヴィトーリア・ギマランイス

0.80pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn1Losses3ポイント4

Signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

FCアロウカ

2.00pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn1Losses1ポイント10

Signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
勝ち probability excluding draw
24%
4
Points from supplied form
10
1.77
Expected goals
1.43
ヴィトーリア・ギマランイスFCアロウカ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ヴィトーリア・ギマランイス signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FCアロウカ signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

ヴィトーリア・ギマランイス vs FCアロウカ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ヴィトーリア・ギマランイス 勝ち 49%,引き分け 27%,FCアロウカ 勝ち 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.20 · オーバー 2.5 62% · Current selection オーバー