What is the Guimaraes vs FC Arouca prediction?

The prediction is Home win, with a projected score of 2–1 and a selected-call probability of 49%.

What are the Guimaraes vs FC Arouca 1X2 probabilities?

Guimaraes win 49%, draw 27%, and FC Arouca win 24%.

How many goals are expected in Guimaraes vs FC Arouca?

The displayed projection is 3.20 total expected goals, with Over 2.5 at 62%.

MatchFormula Trouver un match

UTC+8

PRT Portugal - Primeira Liga · Match · dim. 9 août, 01:00

Guimaraes vs FC Arouca

Full model forecast，stats and analysis

Domicile form

Projected score2–13.20 expected goals

Extérieur form

Victoire à domicile49%

Nul27%

Victoire à l’extérieur24%

Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 49% selection probability

Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile49% selection probability

Projected score2–1Guimaraes — FC Arouca

Expected goals3.20Ouverture match profile

Goals 2.5Plus de62% for the selected side

Les deux équipes marquentOui63% for the selected side

Expected corners8.7Moins de 9.5

Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste

49% / 27% / 24%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile49%2.04

Derived from 1X2 · excludes FC Arouca win (23.9%)Double chance1X76.1%1.31

Plus de 62% · Moins de 38%Goals 2.5Plus de62%1.61

Oui 63% · Non 37%Les deux équipes marquentOui63%1.59

3.20 total expected goalsScore exact2–1——

8.7 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5——

Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.0%Largest probability gapFC Arouca winDifference+0.6 pp

OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference

Guimaraes win49%2.041.9049.2%-0.2 pp

Nul27%3.703.4027.5%-0.5 pp

FC Arouca win24%4.174.0023.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Guimaraes1.77

Domicile share of expected goals 55.3%

Total expected goals3.20Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 62% · Moins de 38%

FC Arouca1.43

Extérieur share of expected goals 44.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 63% · Non 37%Match profileOuverture

Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Guimaraes

0.80pts / match

Joués5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

FC Arouca

2.00pts / match

Joués5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook

49%

Gagné probability excluding draw

24%

Points from supplied form

1.77

Expected goals

1.43

GuimaraesFC Arouca

Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Guimaraes signalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Arouca signalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 27%.

Match questions