Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
49% / 27% / 24%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FC Arouca win (23.9%)Dupla Chance1X76.1%1.31
Acima 62% · Abaixo 38%Goals 2.5Acima62%1.61
Sim 63% · Não 37%Ambas as equipes marcamSim63%1.59
3.20 total expected goalsPlacar exato2–1——
8.7 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin7.0%Largest probability gapFC Arouca winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Vitória de Guimarães win49%2.041.9049.2%-0.2 pp
Empate27%3.703.4027.5%-0.5 pp
FC Arouca win24%4.174.0023.4%+0.6 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Mandante share of expected goals 55.3%
Total expected goals3.20Abrir
Dedicated goals model: Acima 62% · Abaixo 38%
Visitante share of expected goals 44.7%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitSim 63% · Não 37%Match profileAbrir
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Mandante-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchVitória de Guimarães
DWLLL
Jogos5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Pontos4
SignalMandante matches under 2.5: 4/5
Visitante-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchFC Arouca
WWDLW
Jogos5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Pontos10
SignalMandante failed to score: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
49%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
24%4
Points from supplied form
101.77
Expected goals
1.43Vitória de GuimarãesFC Arouca
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 27%.
Match questions
Vitória de Guimarães vs FC Arouca FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 2–1 · 49% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Vitória de Guimarães ganhou 49%，Empate 27%，FC Arouca ganhou 24%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.20 · Acima 2.5 62% · Current selection Acima。