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PRT Португалия - Лига Примейра · Матч ·

Гимарайнш vs ФК Арока

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–13.20 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев49%
Ничья27%
Победа гостей24%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев49% selection probability
Projected score2–1ГимарайншФК Арока
Expected goals3.20Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше62% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа63% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
49% / 27% / 24%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ФК Арока win (23.9%)Двойной шанс1X76.1%1.31
Больше 62% · Меньше 38%Goals 2.5Больше62%1.61
Да 63% · Нет 37%Обе забьютДа63%1.59
3.20 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
8.7 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.0%Largest probability gapФК Арока winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Гимарайнш win49%2.041.9049.2%-0.2 pp
Ничья27%3.703.4027.5%-0.5 pp
ФК Арока win24%4.174.0023.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Гимарайнш1.77

Хозяева share of expected goals 55.3%

Total expected goals3.20Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 62% · Меньше 38%

ФК Арока1.43

Гости share of expected goals 44.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 63% · Нет 37%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Гимарайнш

0.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Баллы4

SignalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

ФК Арока

2.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Баллы10

SignalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
24%
4
Points from supplied form
10
1.77
Expected goals
1.43
ГимарайншФК Арока
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Гимарайнш signalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ФК Арока signalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Гимарайнш vs ФК Арока FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Гимарайнш выигрыш 49%,Ничья 27%,ФК Арока выигрыш 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.20 · ТБ 2.5 62% · Current selection Больше