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PRT 葡萄牙超級聯賽 · 比賽 ·

甘馬雷斯 vs 艾路卡

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score2–13.20 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝49%
27%
客勝24%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝49% selection probability
Projected score2–1甘馬雷斯艾路卡
Expected goals3.20初盤 match profile
Goals 2.562% for the selected side
雙方進球63% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
49% / 27% / 24%比賽結果主勝49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 艾路卡 win (23.9%)雙重機會1X76.1%1.31
大 62% · 小 38%Goals 2.562%1.61
是 63% · 否 37%雙方進球63%1.59
3.20 total expected goals正確比分2–1
8.7 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.0%Largest probability gap艾路卡 winDifference+0.6 pp
Outcome預測公平賠率Reference oddsNormalized marketDifference
甘馬雷斯 win49%2.041.9049.2%-0.2 pp
27%3.703.4027.5%-0.5 pp
艾路卡 win24%4.174.0023.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

甘馬雷斯1.77

主隊 share of expected goals 55.3%

Total expected goals3.20初盤

Dedicated goals model: 62% · 38%

艾路卡1.43

客隊 share of expected goals 44.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 63% · 37%Match profile初盤
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

甘馬雷斯

0.80pts / match
5Wins1Drawn1Losses3積分4

Signal主隊 matches under 2.5: 4/5

客隊-context · form sequence

艾路卡

2.00pts / match
5Wins3Drawn1Losses1積分10

Signal主隊 failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
贏 probability excluding draw
24%
4
Points from supplied form
10
1.77
Expected goals
1.43
甘馬雷斯艾路卡
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01甘馬雷斯 signal主隊 matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02艾路卡 signal主隊 failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

甘馬雷斯 vs 艾路卡 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 2–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

甘馬雷斯 49%, 27%,艾路卡 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.20 · 大2.5 62% · Current selection