Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
45% / 27% / 28%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.4%)Double chance1272.6%1.38
Plus de 55% · Moins de 45%Goals 2.5Plus de55%1.82
Oui 57% · Non 43%Les deux équipes marquentOui57%1.75
2.90 total expected goalsScore exact2–1——
9.4 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
Caernarfon win45%2.22
Nul27%3.70
Penybont win28%3.57
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Domicile share of expected goals 60%
Total expected goals2.90Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Plus de 55% · Moins de 45%
Extérieur share of expected goals 40%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 57% · Non 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Domicile-context · form sequence
2.40pts / matchCaernarfon
WWWWL
Joués5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12
SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5
Extérieur-context · form sequence
1.00pts / matchPenybont
DWDLL
Joués5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5
SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
45%
Gagné probability excluding draw
28%12
Points from supplied form
51.74
Expected goals
1.16CaernarfonPenybont
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 27%.
Match questions
Caernarfon vs Penybont FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 45% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Caernarfon victoire 45%，Nul 27%，Penybont victoire 28%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.90 · Plus de 2.5 55% · Current selection Plus de。