Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
45% / 27% / 28%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.4%)Dupla Chance1272.6%1.38
Acima 55% · Abaixo 45%Goals 2.5Acima55%1.82
Sim 57% · Não 43%Ambas as equipes marcamSim57%1.75
2.90 total expected goalsPlacar exato2–1——
9.4 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
Não snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityOdds justas
Caernarfon win45%2.22
Empate27%3.70
Penybont win28%3.57
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Mandante share of expected goals 60%
Total expected goals2.90Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Acima 55% · Abaixo 45%
Visitante share of expected goals 40%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitSim 57% · Não 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Mandante-context · form sequence
2.40pts / matchCaernarfon
WWWWL
Jogos5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Pontos12
SignalMandante unbeaten 4/5
Visitante-context · form sequence
1.00pts / matchPenybont
DWDLL
Jogos5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Pontos5
SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
45%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
28%12
Points from supplied form
51.74
Expected goals
1.16CaernarfonPenybont
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 27%.
Match questions
Caernarfon vs Penybont FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 2–1 · 45% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Caernarfon ganhou 45%，Empate 27%，Penybont ganhou 28%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.90 · Acima 2.5 55% · Current selection Acima。