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WAL Уэльс - Премьер-лига · Матч ·

Карнарвон vs Пенибонт

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–12.90 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев45%
Ничья27%
Победа гостей28%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев45% selection probability
Projected score2–1КарнарвонПенибонт
Expected goals2.90Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Больше55% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
45% / 27% / 28%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.4%)Двойной шанс1272.6%1.38
Больше 55% · Меньше 45%Goals 2.5Больше55%1.82
Да 57% · Нет 43%Обе забьютДа57%1.75
2.90 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
9.4 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Карнарвон win45%2.22
Ничья27%3.70
Пенибонт win28%3.57

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Карнарвон1.74

Хозяева share of expected goals 60%

Total expected goals2.90Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 55% · Меньше 45%

Пенибонт1.16

Гости share of expected goals 40%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 57% · Нет 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Карнарвон

2.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Баллы12

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Пенибонт

1.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Баллы5

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
28%
12
Points from supplied form
5
1.74
Expected goals
1.16
КарнарвонПенибонт
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Карнарвон signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Пенибонт signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Карнарвон vs Пенибонт FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Карнарвон выигрыш 45%,Ничья 27%,Пенибонт выигрыш 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.90 · ТБ 2.5 55% · Current selection Больше