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WAL 威爾士超級聯賽 · ·

卡纳 vs 佩尼邦

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score2–12.90 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝45%
27%
客勝28%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝45% selection probability
Projected score2–1卡纳佩尼邦
Expected goals2.90Balanced match profile
Goals 2.555% for the selected side
雙方進球57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
45% / 27% / 28%比賽結果主勝45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.4%)雙勝彩1272.6%1.38
大 55% · 小 45%Goals 2.555%1.82
是 57% · 否 43%雙方進球57%1.75
2.90 total expected goals正確比分2–1
9.4 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

否 snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probability公平賠率
卡纳 win45%2.22
27%3.70
佩尼邦 win28%3.57

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

卡纳1.74

主隊 share of expected goals 60%

Total expected goals2.90Balanced

Dedicated goals model: 55% · 45%

佩尼邦1.16

客隊 share of expected goals 40%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 57% · 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

卡纳

2.40pts / match
5Wins4Drawn0Losses1積分12

Signal主隊 unbeaten 4/5

客隊-context · form sequence

佩尼邦

1.00pts / match
5Wins1Drawn2Losses2積分5

Signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
贏 probability excluding draw
28%
12
Points from supplied form
5
1.74
Expected goals
1.16
卡纳佩尼邦
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01卡纳 signal主隊 unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02佩尼邦 signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

卡纳 vs 佩尼邦 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 2–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

卡纳 45%, 27%,佩尼邦 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.90 · 大2.5 55% · Current selection