MatchFormula Tìm trận đấu
Menu
UTC+8
Múi giờAsia/Shanghai
Tiếng Việt
WAL Wales Premier League · Trận đấu ·

Caernarfon vs Penybont

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Chủ nhà form
Projected score2–12.90 expected goals
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng47%
Hòa26%
Đội khách thắng27%
Full model forecastChủ nhà thắngTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callChủ nhà thắng47% selection probability
Projected score2–1CaernarfonPenybont
Expected goals2.90Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Tài55% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bàn57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Xỉu 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
47% / 26% / 27%Kết quả trận đấuChủ nhà thắng47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.1%)Cơ hội kép1273.9%1.35
Tài 55% · Xỉu 45%Goals 2.5Tài55%1.82
Có 57% · Không 43%Cả hai đội ghi bàn57%1.75
2.90 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác2–1
9.4 expected match cornersPhạt gócXỉu 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapCaernarfon winDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomeDự đoánTỷ lệ công bằngReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Caernarfon win47%2.131.9146.7%+0.3 pp
Hòa26%3.853.4026.2%-0.2 pp
Penybont win27%3.703.3027%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Caernarfon1.74

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 60%

Total expected goals2.90Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Tài 55% · Xỉu 45%

Penybont1.16

Khách share of expected goals 40%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 57% · Không 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

Caernarfon

2.40pts / match
Số trận5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Điểm12

SignalChủ nhà unbeaten 4/5

Khách-context · form sequence

Penybont

1.00pts / match
Số trận5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Điểm5

SignalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Thắng probability excluding draw
27%
12
Points from supplied form
5
1.74
Expected goals
1.16
CaernarfonPenybont
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Caernarfon signalChủ nhà unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Penybont signalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Caernarfon vs Penybont FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Chủ nhà thắng · Projected score 2–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Caernarfon thắng 47%,Hòa 26%,Penybont thắng 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.90 · Tài 2.5 55% · Current selection Tài