Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
45% / 27% / 28%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.4%)Dubbele Kans1272.6%1.38
Boven 55% · Onder 45%Goals 2.5Boven55%1.82
Ja 57% · Nee 43%Beide teams scorenJa57%1.75
2.90 total expected goalsExacte score2–1——
9.4 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Caernarfon win45%2.22
Gelijkspel27%3.70
Penybont win28%3.57
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Thuis share of expected goals 60%
Total expected goals2.90Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Boven 55% · Onder 45%
Uit share of expected goals 40%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 57% · Nee 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Thuis-context · form sequence
2.40pts / matchCaernarfon
WWWWL
Gespeeld5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punten12
SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5
Uit-context · form sequence
1.00pts / matchPenybont
DWDLL
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punten5
SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
45%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
28%12
Points from supplied form
51.74
Expected goals
1.16CaernarfonPenybont
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 27%.
Match questions
Caernarfon vs Penybont FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 45% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Caernarfon gewonnen 45%，Gelijkspel 27%，Penybont gewonnen 28%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.90 · Boven 2.5 55% · Current selection Boven。