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WAL ウェールズ プレミアリーグ · 試合 ·

カーナーフォン vs ペニーボント

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–12.90 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利47%
引き分け26%
アウェイ勝利27%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利47% selection probability
Projected score2–1カーナーフォンペニーボント
Expected goals2.90Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー55% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
47% / 26% / 27%試合結果ホーム勝利47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.1%)ダブルチャンス1273.9%1.35
オーバー 55% · アンダー 45%Goals 2.5オーバー55%1.82
はい 57% · いいえ 43%両チーム得点はい57%1.75
2.90 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
9.4 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapカーナーフォン winDifference+0.3 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
カーナーフォン win47%2.131.9146.7%+0.3 pp
引き分け26%3.853.4026.2%-0.2 pp
ペニーボント win27%3.703.3027%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

カーナーフォン1.74

ホーム share of expected goals 60%

Total expected goals2.90Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 55% · アンダー 45%

ペニーボント1.16

アウェイ share of expected goals 40%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 57% · いいえ 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

カーナーフォン

2.40pts / match
試合数5Wins4Drawn0Losses1ポイント12

Signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

ペニーボント

1.00pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn2Losses2ポイント5

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
勝ち probability excluding draw
27%
12
Points from supplied form
5
1.74
Expected goals
1.16
カーナーフォンペニーボント
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01カーナーフォン signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ペニーボント signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

カーナーフォン vs ペニーボント FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

カーナーフォン 勝ち 47%,引き分け 26%,ペニーボント 勝ち 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.90 · オーバー 2.5 55% · Current selection オーバー