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WAL Pays de Galles - Premier League · Match ·

Holywell Town vs Connah's Quay

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–22.85 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile15%
Nul18%
Victoire à l’extérieur67%
Market-based forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier B · 67% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur67% selection probability
Projected score1–2Holywell TownConnah's Quay
Expected goals2.85Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de55% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
15% / 18% / 67%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur67%1.49
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Holywell Town win (14.8%)Double chanceX285.2%1.17
Plus de 55% · Moins de 45%Goals 2.5Plus de55%1.82
Oui 56% · Non 44%Les deux équipes marquentOui56%1.79
2.85 total expected goalsScore exact1–2
9.2 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.9%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimAucun
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Holywell Town win15%6.677.0012.9%
Nul18%5.565.2517.2%
Connah's Quay win67%1.491.2969.9%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Holywell Town1.00

Domicile share of expected goals 35.1%

Total expected goals2.85Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 55% · Moins de 45%

Connah's Quay1.85

Extérieur share of expected goals 64.9%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitOui 56% · Non 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Holywell Town

0.00pts / match
Joués1Wins0Drawn0Losses1Points0

SignalExtérieur matches over 2.5: 3/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Connah's Quay

1.00pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalNon recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
15%
Gagné probability excluding draw
67%
0
Points from supplied form
5
1.00
Expected goals
1.85
Holywell TownConnah's Quay
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Holywell Town signalExtérieur matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Connah's Quay signalNon recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk33% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 18%.

Match questions

Holywell Town vs Connah's Quay FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 1–2 · 67% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Holywell Town victoire 15%,Nul 18%,Connah's Quay victoire 67%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.85 · Plus de 2.5 55% · Current selection Plus de