Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
15% / 18% / 67%Match resultAway win67%1.49
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Holywell Town win (14.8%)Double chanceX285.2%1.17
Over 55% · Under 45%Goals 2.5Over55%1.82
Yes 56% · No 44%Both teams scoreYes56%1.79
2.85 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2——
9.2 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Reference market used for this forecast
This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.
Displayed margin10.9%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Holywell Town win15%6.677.0012.9%—
Draw18%5.565.2517.2%—
Connah's Quay win67%1.491.2969.9%—
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 35.1%
Total expected goals2.85Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 55% · Under 45%
Away share of expected goals 64.9%
Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 56% · No 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.00pts / matchHolywell Town
L
Played1Wins0Drawn0Losses1Points0
SignalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.00pts / matchConnah's Quay
LDLDW
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5
SignalNo recent signal
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
15%
Win probability excluding draw
67%0
Points from supplied form
51.00
Expected goals
1.85Holywell TownConnah's Quay
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-led fallback leans AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 18%.
Match questions
Holywell Town vs Connah's Quay FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 67% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Holywell Town win 15%，Draw 18%，Connah's Quay win 67%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.85 · Over 2.5 55% · Current selection Over。