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WAL Wales Premier League · Fixture ·

Flint Town Utd vs Barry Town

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–22.87 expected goals
Away form
Home win23%
Draw27%
Away win51%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win51% selection probability
Projected score1–2Flint Town UtdBarry Town
Expected goals2.87Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over55% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
23% / 27% / 51%Match resultAway win51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Flint Town Utd win (22.7%)Double chanceX277.3%1.29
Over 55% · Under 45%Goals 2.5Over55%1.82
Yes 53% · No 47%Both teams scoreYes53%1.89
2.87 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
9.4 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Flint Town Utd win23%4.35
Draw27%3.70
Barry Town win51%1.96

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Flint Town Utd0.96

Home share of expected goals 33.4%

Total expected goals2.87Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 55% · Under 45%

Barry Town1.91

Away share of expected goals 66.6%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 53% · No 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Flint Town Utd

0.40pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Barry Town

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
23%
Win probability excluding draw
51%
2
Points from supplied form
8
0.96
Expected goals
1.91
Flint Town UtdBarry Town
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Flint Town Utd signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Barry Town signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Flint Town Utd vs Barry Town FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Flint Town Utd win 23%,Draw 27%,Barry Town win 51%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.87 · Over 2.5 55% · Current selection Over