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WAL Pays de Galles - Premier League · Match ·

Flint Town Utd vs Barry Town

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–22.87 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile23%
Nul27%
Victoire à l’extérieur51%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur51% selection probability
Projected score1–2Flint Town UtdBarry Town
Expected goals2.87Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de55% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
23% / 27% / 51%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Flint Town Utd win (22.7%)Double chanceX277.3%1.29
Plus de 55% · Moins de 45%Goals 2.5Plus de55%1.82
Oui 53% · Non 47%Les deux équipes marquentOui53%1.89
2.87 total expected goalsScore exact1–2
9.4 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
Flint Town Utd win23%4.35
Nul27%3.70
Barry Town win51%1.96

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Flint Town Utd0.96

Domicile share of expected goals 33.4%

Total expected goals2.87Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 55% · Moins de 45%

Barry Town1.91

Extérieur share of expected goals 66.6%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitOui 53% · Non 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Flint Town Utd

0.40pts / match
Joués5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Barry Town

1.60pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
23%
Gagné probability excluding draw
51%
2
Points from supplied form
8
0.96
Expected goals
1.91
Flint Town UtdBarry Town
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Flint Town Utd signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Barry Town signalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Flint Town Utd vs Barry Town FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 1–2 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Flint Town Utd victoire 23%,Nul 27%,Barry Town victoire 51%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.87 · Plus de 2.5 55% · Current selection Plus de