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WAL Pays de Galles - Premier League · Match ·

The New Saints vs Haverfordwest

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–13.08 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile73%
Nul16%
Victoire à l’extérieur11%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 73% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile73% selection probability
Projected score2–1The New SaintsHaverfordwest
Expected goals3.08Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de59% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
73% / 16% / 11%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile73%1.37
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Haverfordwest win (10.8%)Double chance1X89.2%1.12
Plus de 59% · Moins de 41%Goals 2.5Plus de59%1.69
Oui 44% · Non 56%Les deux équipes marquentNon56%1.79
3.08 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
9.4 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.6%Largest probability gapThe New Saints winDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
The New Saints win73%1.371.2272.8%+0.2 pp
Nul16%6.255.5016.1%-0.1 pp
Haverfordwest win11%9.098.0011.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

The New Saints2.44

Domicile share of expected goals 79.2%

Total expected goals3.08Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 59% · Moins de 41%

Haverfordwest0.64

Extérieur share of expected goals 20.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 44% · Non 56%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

The New Saints

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Haverfordwest

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalExtérieur matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
73%
Gagné probability excluding draw
11%
7
Points from supplied form
7
2.44
Expected goals
0.64
The New SaintsHaverfordwest
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01The New Saints signalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Haverfordwest signalExtérieur matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk27% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

The New Saints vs Haverfordwest FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 73% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

The New Saints victoire 73%,Nul 16%,Haverfordwest victoire 11%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.08 · Plus de 2.5 59% · Current selection Plus de