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WAL Gales - Premier League · Partido ·

The New Saints vs Haverfordwest

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–13.08 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local73%
Empate16%
Victoria visitante11%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 73% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local73% selection probability
Projected score2–1The New SaintsHaverfordwest
Expected goals3.08Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Más de59% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
73% / 16% / 11%Resultado del partidoVictoria local73%1.37
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Haverfordwest win (10.8%)Doble Oportunidad1X89.2%1.12
Más de 59% · Menos de 41%Goals 2.5Más de59%1.69
Sí 44% · No 56%Ambos equipos marcanNo56%1.79
3.08 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
9.4 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.6%Largest probability gapThe New Saints winDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
The New Saints win73%1.371.2272.8%+0.2 pp
Empate16%6.255.5016.1%-0.1 pp
Haverfordwest win11%9.098.0011.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

The New Saints2.44

Local share of expected goals 79.2%

Total expected goals3.08Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Más de 59% · Menos de 41%

Haverfordwest0.64

Visitante share of expected goals 20.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 44% · No 56%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

The New Saints

1.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puntos7

SignalLocal clean sheets: 2/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Haverfordwest

1.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puntos7

SignalVisitante matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
73%
Ganado probability excluding draw
11%
7
Points from supplied form
7
2.44
Expected goals
0.64
The New SaintsHaverfordwest
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01The New Saints signalLocal clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Haverfordwest signalVisitante matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk27% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

The New Saints vs Haverfordwest FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 73% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

The New Saints ganada 73%,Empate 16%,Haverfordwest ganada 11%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.08 · Más de 2.5 59% · Current selection Más de