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WAL Galles - Premier League · Partita ·

The New Saints vs Haverfordwest

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–13.08 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa73%
Pareggio16%
Vittoria ospite11%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 73% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa73% selection probability
Projected score2–1The New SaintsHaverfordwest
Expected goals3.08Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra59% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
73% / 16% / 11%Esito partitaVittoria casa73%1.37
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Haverfordwest win (10.8%)Doppia Chance1X89.2%1.12
Sopra 59% · Sotto 41%Goals 2.5Sopra59%1.69
Sì 44% · No 56%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo56%1.79
3.08 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
9.4 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.6%Largest probability gapThe New Saints winDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
The New Saints win73%1.371.2272.8%+0.2 pp
Pareggio16%6.255.5016.1%-0.1 pp
Haverfordwest win11%9.098.0011.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

The New Saints2.44

Casa share of expected goals 79.2%

Total expected goals3.08Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 59% · Sotto 41%

Haverfordwest0.64

Trasferta share of expected goals 20.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 44% · No 56%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

The New Saints

1.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punti7

SignalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Haverfordwest

1.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punti7

SignalTrasferta matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
73%
Vinta probability excluding draw
11%
7
Points from supplied form
7
2.44
Expected goals
0.64
The New SaintsHaverfordwest
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01The New Saints signalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Haverfordwest signalTrasferta matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk27% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

The New Saints vs Haverfordwest FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 73% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

The New Saints vinta 73%,Pareggio 16%,Haverfordwest vinta 11%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.08 · Sopra 2.5 59% · Current selection Sopra