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WAL Wales - Premier League · Zápas ·

The New Saints vs Haverfordwest

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domácí form
Projected score2–13.08 expected goals
Hosté form
Výhra domácích73%
Remíza16%
Výhra hostů11%
Full model forecastVýhra domácíchTier A · 73% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácích73% selection probability
Projected score2–1The New SaintsHaverfordwest
Expected goals3.08Otevírací match profile
Goals 2.5Více59% for the selected side
Oba týmy skórujíNe56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Méně 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýběrPravděpodobnostFérový kurz
73% / 16% / 11%Výsledek zápasuVýhra domácích73%1.37
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Haverfordwest win (10.8%)Dvojitá šance1X89.2%1.12
Více 59% · Méně 41%Goals 2.5Více59%1.69
Ano 44% · Ne 56%Oba týmy skórujíNe56%1.79
3.08 total expected goalsPřesné skóre2–1
9.4 expected match cornersRohyMéně 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.6%Largest probability gapThe New Saints winDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomePředpověďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
The New Saints win73%1.371.2272.8%+0.2 pp
Remíza16%6.255.5016.1%-0.1 pp
Haverfordwest win11%9.098.0011.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

The New Saints2.44

Domácí share of expected goals 79.2%

Total expected goals3.08Otevírací

Dedicated goals model: Více 59% · Méně 41%

Haverfordwest0.64

Hosté share of expected goals 20.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitAno 44% · Ne 56%Match profileOtevírací
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domácí-context · form sequence

The New Saints

1.40pts / match
Odehráno5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Body7

SignalDomácí clean sheets: 2/5

Hosté-context · form sequence

Haverfordwest

1.40pts / match
Odehráno5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Body7

SignalHosté matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
73%
Výhra probability excluding draw
11%
7
Points from supplied form
7
2.44
Expected goals
0.64
The New SaintsHaverfordwest
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01The New Saints signalDomácí clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Haverfordwest signalHosté matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk27% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

The New Saints vs Haverfordwest FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácích · Projected score 2–1 · 73% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

The New Saints výhra 73%,Remíza 16%,Haverfordwest výhra 11%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.08 · Více 2.5 59% · Current selection Více