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WAL Tara Galilor - Premier League · Meci ·

Holywell Town vs Connah's Quay

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–22.86 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde14%
Egal18%
Victorie oaspeți69%
Market-based forecastVictorie oaspețiTier B · 69% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie oaspeți69% selection probability
Projected score1–2Holywell TownConnah's Quay
Expected goals2.86Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Peste56% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
14% / 18% / 69%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie oaspeți69%1.45
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Holywell Town win (13.9%)Șansă dublăX286.1%1.16
Peste 56% · Sub 44%Goals 2.5Peste56%1.79
Da 55% · Nu 45%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa55%1.82
2.86 total expected goalsScor corect1–2
9.2 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNiciuna
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Holywell Town win14%7.147.5012%
Egal18%5.565.5016.3%
Connah's Quay win69%1.451.2571.7%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Holywell Town0.98

Gazde share of expected goals 34.3%

Total expected goals2.86Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 56% · Sub 44%

Connah's Quay1.88

Oaspeți share of expected goals 65.7%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitDa 55% · Nu 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Holywell Town

1.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puncte7

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Connah's Quay

1.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puncte5

SignalGazde clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
14%
Câștig probability excluding draw
69%
7
Points from supplied form
5
0.98
Expected goals
1.88
Holywell TownConnah's Quay
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Holywell Town signalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Connah's Quay signalGazde clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk31% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 18%.

Match questions

Holywell Town vs Connah's Quay FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie oaspeți · Projected score 1–2 · 69% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Holywell Town câștig 14%,Egal 18%,Connah's Quay câștig 69%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.86 · Peste 2.5 56% · Current selection Peste