MatchFormula Trouver un match
Menu
UTC+8
Fuseau horaireAsia/Shanghai
Français
NLD Pays-Bas - Eredivisie · Match ·

PSV vs Fortuna Sittard

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score4–15.06 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile83%
Nul12%
Victoire à l’extérieur6%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 83% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile83% selection probability
Projected score4–1PSVFortuna Sittard
Expected goals5.06Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de88% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui65% for the selected side
Expected corners11.3Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
83% / 12% / 6%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile83%1.20
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Fortuna Sittard win (5.6%)Double chance1X94.4%1.06
Plus de 88% · Moins de 12%Goals 2.5Plus de88%1.14
Oui 65% · Non 35%Les deux équipes marquentOui65%1.54
5.06 total expected goalsScore exact4–1
11.3 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin3.9%Largest probability gapPSV winDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
PSV win83%1.201.1782.3%+0.7 pp
Nul12%8.338.0012%0.0 pp
Fortuna Sittard win6%16.6717.005.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

PSV3.98

Domicile share of expected goals 78.7%

Total expected goals5.06Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 88% · Moins de 12%

Fortuna Sittard1.08

Extérieur share of expected goals 21.3%

Projected score4–1BTTS splitOui 65% · Non 35%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

PSV

2.00pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Fortuna Sittard

1.20pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
83%
Gagné probability excluding draw
6%
10
Points from supplied form
6
3.98
Expected goals
1.08
PSVFortuna Sittard
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01PSV signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Fortuna Sittard signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk17% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 12%.

Match questions

PSV vs Fortuna Sittard FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 4–1 · 83% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

PSV victoire 83%,Nul 12%,Fortuna Sittard victoire 6%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 5.06 · Plus de 2.5 88% · Current selection Plus de