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NLD Pays-Bas - Eredivisie · Match ·

Go Ahead Eagles vs Willem II

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–13.07 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile47%
Nul23%
Victoire à l’extérieur29%
Baseline forecastVictoire à domicileTier C · 47% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile47% selection probability
Projected score2–1Go Ahead EaglesWillem II
Expected goals3.07Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de59% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui61% for the selected side
Expected corners10.9Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
47% / 23% / 29%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.5%)Double chance1276.5%1.31
Plus de 59% · Moins de 41%Goals 2.5Plus de59%1.69
Oui 61% · Non 39%Les deux équipes marquentOui61%1.64
3.07 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
10.9 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
Go Ahead Eagles win47%2.13
Nul23%4.35
Willem II win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Go Ahead Eagles1.74

Domicile share of expected goals 56.7%

Total expected goals3.07Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 59% · Moins de 41%

Willem II1.33

Extérieur share of expected goals 43.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 61% · Non 39%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Go Ahead Eagles

1.80pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalDomicile won 3/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Willem II

2.60pts / match
Joués5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Gagné probability excluding draw
29%
9
Points from supplied form
13
1.74
Expected goals
1.33
Go Ahead EaglesWillem II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Go Ahead Eagles signalDomicile won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Willem II signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Go Ahead Eagles vs Willem II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Go Ahead Eagles victoire 47%,Nul 23%,Willem II victoire 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.07 · Plus de 2.5 59% · Current selection Plus de