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NLD Pays-Bas - Eredivisie · Match ·

Sparta Rotterdam vs Feyenoord

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–22.93 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile24%
Nul26%
Victoire à l’extérieur49%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur49% selection probability
Projected score1–2Sparta RotterdamFeyenoord
Expected goals2.93Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de56% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.7Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
24% / 26% / 49%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sparta Rotterdam win (24.1%)Double chanceX275.9%1.32
Plus de 56% · Moins de 44%Goals 2.5Plus de56%1.79
Oui 55% · Non 45%Les deux équipes marquentOui55%1.82
2.93 total expected goalsScore exact1–2
10.7 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
Sparta Rotterdam win24%4.17
Nul26%3.85
Feyenoord win49%2.04

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sparta Rotterdam1.03

Domicile share of expected goals 35.2%

Total expected goals2.93Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 56% · Moins de 44%

Feyenoord1.90

Extérieur share of expected goals 64.8%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitOui 55% · Non 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Sparta Rotterdam

1.00pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Feyenoord

2.60pts / match
Joués5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13

SignalExtérieur unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
24%
Gagné probability excluding draw
49%
5
Points from supplied form
13
1.03
Expected goals
1.90
Sparta RotterdamFeyenoord
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sparta Rotterdam signalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Feyenoord signalExtérieur unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Sparta Rotterdam vs Feyenoord FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 1–2 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sparta Rotterdam victoire 24%,Nul 26%,Feyenoord victoire 49%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.93 · Plus de 2.5 56% · Current selection Plus de