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Sparta Rotterdam vs Feyenoord

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–22.93 expected goals
Away form
Home win24%
Draw26%
Away win50%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win50% selection probability
Projected score1–2Sparta RotterdamFeyenoord
Expected goals2.93Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over56% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.7Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
24% / 26% / 50%Match resultAway win50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sparta Rotterdam win (24.1%)Double chanceX275.9%1.32
Over 56% · Under 44%Goals 2.5Over56%1.79
Yes 55% · No 45%Both teams scoreYes55%1.82
2.93 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
10.7 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Sparta Rotterdam win24%4.17
Draw26%3.85
Feyenoord win50%2.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sparta Rotterdam1.03

Home share of expected goals 35.2%

Total expected goals2.93Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 56% · Under 44%

Feyenoord1.90

Away share of expected goals 64.8%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 55% · No 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Sparta Rotterdam

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Away-context · form sequence

Feyenoord

2.60pts / match
Played5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13

SignalAway unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
24%
Win probability excluding draw
50%
5
Points from supplied form
13
1.03
Expected goals
1.90
Sparta RotterdamFeyenoord
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sparta Rotterdam signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Feyenoord signalAway unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Sparta Rotterdam vs Feyenoord FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sparta Rotterdam win 24%,Draw 26%,Feyenoord win 50%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.93 · Over 2.5 56% · Current selection Over