Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
24% / 26% / 50%Match resultAway win50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes PEC Zwolle win (24.4%)Double chanceX275.6%1.32
Over 60% · Under 40%Goals 2.5Over60%1.67
Yes 58% · No 42%Both teams scoreYes58%1.72
3.11 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2——
10.1 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
PEC Zwolle win24%4.17
Draw26%3.85
Ajax win50%2.00
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 35.7%
Total expected goals3.11Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 60% · Under 40%
Away share of expected goals 64.3%
Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 58% · No 42%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.60pts / matchPEC Zwolle
LLLLW
Played5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
2.60pts / matchAjax
WWWDW
Played5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13
SignalHome failed to score: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
24%
Win probability excluding draw
50%3
Points from supplied form
131.11
Expected goals
2.00PEC ZwolleAjax
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.
Match questions
PEC Zwolle vs Ajax FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 50% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
PEC Zwolle win 24%，Draw 26%，Ajax win 50%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.11 · Over 2.5 60% · Current selection Over。