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PEC Zwolle vs Ajax

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score1–23.11 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır24%
Beraberlik26%
Deplasman kazanır50%
Full model forecastDeplasman kazanırTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callDeplasman kazanır50% selection probability
Projected score1–2PEC ZwolleAjax
Expected goals3.11Açılış match profile
Goals 2.5Üst60% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varEvet58% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Üst 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
24% / 26% / 50%Maç sonucuDeplasman kazanır50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes PEC Zwolle win (24.4%)Çifte ŞansX275.6%1.32
Üst 60% · Alt 40%Goals 2.5Üst60%1.67
Evet 58% · Hayır 42%Karşılıklı gol varEvet58%1.72
3.11 total expected goalsDoğru skor1–2
10.1 expected match cornersKornerlerÜst 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Hayır snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityAdil oran
PEC Zwolle win24%4.17
Beraberlik26%3.85
Ajax win50%2.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

PEC Zwolle1.11

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 35.7%

Total expected goals3.11Açılış

Dedicated goals model: Üst 60% · Alt 40%

Ajax2.00

Deplasman share of expected goals 64.3%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitEvet 58% · Hayır 42%Match profileAçılış
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

PEC Zwolle

0.60pts / match
Oynanan5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Puan3

SignalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 3/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Ajax

2.60pts / match
Oynanan5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Puan13

SignalEv Sahibi failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
24%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
50%
3
Points from supplied form
13
1.11
Expected goals
2.00
PEC ZwolleAjax
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01PEC Zwolle signalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ajax signalEv Sahibi failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

PEC Zwolle vs Ajax FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Deplasman kazanır · Projected score 1–2 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

PEC Zwolle kazanç 24%,Beraberlik 26%,Ajax kazanç 50%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.11 · 2.5 Üst 60% · Current selection Üst