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NLD Ολλανδία - Eredivisie · Αγώνας ·

Τσβόλε vs Άγιαξ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–23.11 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου24%
Ισοπαλία26%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου50%
Full model forecastΝίκη φιλοξενούμενουTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου50% selection probability
Projected score1–2ΤσβόλεΆγιαξ
Expected goals3.11Άνοιγμα match profile
Goals 2.5Άνω60% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι58% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Άνω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
24% / 26% / 50%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Τσβόλε win (24.4%)Διπλή ΕυκαιρίαX275.6%1.32
Άνω 60% · Κάτω 40%Goals 2.5Άνω60%1.67
Ναι 58% · Όχι 42%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι58%1.72
3.11 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–2
10.1 expected match cornersΚόρνερΆνω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Τσβόλε win24%4.17
Ισοπαλία26%3.85
Άγιαξ win50%2.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Τσβόλε1.11

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 35.7%

Total expected goals3.11Άνοιγμα

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 60% · Κάτω 40%

Άγιαξ2.00

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 64.3%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitΝαι 58% · Όχι 42%Match profileΆνοιγμα
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Τσβόλε

0.60pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Πόντοι3

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Άγιαξ

2.60pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Πόντοι13

SignalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
24%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
50%
3
Points from supplied form
13
1.11
Expected goals
2.00
ΤσβόλεΆγιαξ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Τσβόλε signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Άγιαξ signalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Τσβόλε vs Άγιαξ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου · Projected score 1–2 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Τσβόλε νίκη 24%,Ισοπαλία 26%,Άγιαξ νίκη 50%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.11 · Άνω 2.5 60% · Current selection Άνω