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NLD Нидерланды - Эредивизи · Матч ·

ПЕК Зволле vs Аякс

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–23.11 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев24%
Ничья26%
Победа гостей50%
Full model forecastПобеда гостейTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда гостей50% selection probability
Projected score1–2ПЕК ЗволлеАякс
Expected goals3.11Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше60% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа58% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
24% / 26% / 50%Исход матчаПобеда гостей50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ПЕК Зволле win (24.4%)Двойной шансX275.6%1.32
Больше 60% · Меньше 40%Goals 2.5Больше60%1.67
Да 58% · Нет 42%Обе забьютДа58%1.72
3.11 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–2
10.1 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
ПЕК Зволле win24%4.17
Ничья26%3.85
Аякс win50%2.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ПЕК Зволле1.11

Хозяева share of expected goals 35.7%

Total expected goals3.11Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 60% · Меньше 40%

Аякс2.00

Гости share of expected goals 64.3%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitДа 58% · Нет 42%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

ПЕК Зволле

0.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Баллы3

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Аякс

2.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Баллы13

SignalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
24%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
50%
3
Points from supplied form
13
1.11
Expected goals
2.00
ПЕК ЗволлеАякс
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ПЕК Зволле signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Аякс signalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

ПЕК Зволле vs Аякс FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа гостей · Projected score 1–2 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ПЕК Зволле выигрыш 24%,Ничья 26%,Аякс выигрыш 50%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.11 · ТБ 2.5 60% · Current selection Больше