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NLD Madalmaade Eredivisie · Mäng ·

PEC Zwolle vs Ajax

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Kodu form
Projected score1–23.11 expected goals
Võõras form
Koduvõit24%
Viik26%
Võõrsilvõit50%
Full model forecastVõõrsilvõitTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVõõrsilvõit50% selection probability
Projected score1–2PEC ZwolleAjax
Expected goals3.11Avamine match profile
Goals 2.5Üle60% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah58% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Üle 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
24% / 26% / 50%Mängu tulemusVõõrsilvõit50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes PEC Zwolle win (24.4%)TopeltvõimalusX275.6%1.32
Üle 60% · Alla 40%Goals 2.5Üle60%1.67
Jah 58% · Ei 42%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah58%1.72
3.11 total expected goalsTäpne skoor1–2
10.1 expected match cornersNurgalöögidÜle 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Ei snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityÕiglane koefitsient
PEC Zwolle win24%4.17
Viik26%3.85
Ajax win50%2.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

PEC Zwolle1.11

Kodu share of expected goals 35.7%

Total expected goals3.11Avamine

Dedicated goals model: Üle 60% · Alla 40%

Ajax2.00

Võõras share of expected goals 64.3%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJah 58% · Ei 42%Match profileAvamine
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

PEC Zwolle

0.60pts / match
Mängitud5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punktid3

SignalKodu matches over 2.5: 3/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

Ajax

2.60pts / match
Mängitud5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punktid13

SignalKodu failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
24%
Võit probability excluding draw
50%
3
Points from supplied form
13
1.11
Expected goals
2.00
PEC ZwolleAjax
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01PEC Zwolle signalKodu matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ajax signalKodu failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

PEC Zwolle vs Ajax FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Võõrsilvõit · Projected score 1–2 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

PEC Zwolle võit 24%,Viik 26%,Ajax võit 50%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.11 · Üle 2.5 60% · Current selection Üle