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NLD Holandia - Eredivisie · Mecz ·

PEC Zwolle vs Ajax

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–23.11 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy24%
Remis26%
Wygrana gości50%
Full model forecastWygrana gościTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gości50% selection probability
Projected score1–2PEC ZwolleAjax
Expected goals3.11Otwarcie match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej60% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak58% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
24% / 26% / 50%Wynik meczuWygrana gości50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes PEC Zwolle win (24.4%)Podwójna szansaX275.6%1.32
Powyżej 60% · Poniżej 40%Goals 2.5Powyżej60%1.67
Tak 58% · Nie 42%Obie drużyny strzeląTak58%1.72
3.11 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–2
10.1 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityUczciwy kurs
PEC Zwolle win24%4.17
Remis26%3.85
Ajax win50%2.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

PEC Zwolle1.11

Gospodarze share of expected goals 35.7%

Total expected goals3.11Otwarcie

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 60% · Poniżej 40%

Ajax2.00

Goście share of expected goals 64.3%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitTak 58% · Nie 42%Match profileOtwarcie
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

PEC Zwolle

0.60pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punkty3

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Ajax

2.60pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punkty13

SignalGospodarze failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
24%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
50%
3
Points from supplied form
13
1.11
Expected goals
2.00
PEC ZwolleAjax
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01PEC Zwolle signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ajax signalGospodarze failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

PEC Zwolle vs Ajax FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gości · Projected score 1–2 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

PEC Zwolle wygrana 24%,Remis 26%,Ajax wygrana 50%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.11 · Powyżej 2.5 60% · Current selection Powyżej